{"id":25529,"date":"2018-10-31T13:13:30","date_gmt":"2018-10-31T12:13:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilten.org\/?p=25529"},"modified":"2018-10-31T13:15:29","modified_gmt":"2018-10-31T12:15:29","slug":"eurozona-u-trecem-kvartalu-na-rubu-stagnacije","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilten.org\/?p=25529","title":{"rendered":"Eurozona u tre\u0107em kvartalu na rubu stagnacije"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ekonomski su analiti\u010dari ostali prili\u010dno iznena\u0111eni <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2018\/oct\/30\/eurozone-growth-slumps-to-lowest-level-in-over-four-years\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">novim podacima<\/a> o ekonomskom stanju eurozone. A ti podaci koje je objavio Eurostat ka\u017eu da je ekonomija eurozone u tre\u0107em kvartalu ove godine rasla za tek 0,2%. To je najni\u017ea razina rasta jo\u0161 od 2014. godine koja je jo\u0161 itekako bila obilje\u017eena kriznom dinamikom.<\/p>\n<p>Premda se blago usporavanje rasta donekle o\u010dekivalo, ovakva gotovo pa stagnacija zvoni na uzbunu. Posebno se to odnosi na Italiju koja u proteklom kvartalu, prvom pod vladom ekstremno desne Lige i Pokreta pet zvijezda, nije zabilje\u017eila ni minimalan rast. A tek joj predstoji okr\u0161aj s Europskom komisijom koja je odbila nacrt talijanskog bud\u017eeta. Ne\u0161to je bolja situacija u Francuskoj, ali i tamo predvi\u0111en ekonomski rast iznosi tek skromnih 1,5%.<\/p>\n<p>Nisu jo\u0161 poznati detaljni podaci za Njema\u010dku, ekonomski najsna\u017eniju \u010dlanicu eurozone, ali ukupne brojke upu\u0107uju na sli\u010dnu razinu jalovog rasta. Premda su, kako smo napomenuli, analiti\u010dari bili iznena\u0111eni dubinom usporavanja ekonomije, odmah su ponudili razloge takvog raspleta. Pored ve\u0107 nazna\u010denih problema s Italijom, klju\u010dnu stavku predstavlja zao\u0161travanje odnosa izme\u0111u Sjedinjenih Ameri\u010dkih Dr\u017eava i Kine &#8211; tzv. trgovinski rat.<\/p>\n<p>Naime, kao posljedica tenzija i tarifa, kineski je rast usporio \u0161to je utjecalo na smanjenje uvoza strojeva i automobila iz Europe. Problemi s automobilskom industrijom posebno su izra\u017eeni u Njema\u010dkoj. Iako se ne zalije\u0107u s katastrofi\u010dnim prognozama na osnovi ovog kvartala, analiti\u010dari su slo\u017eni u tome da je povratak na vi\u0161e stope rasta u doglednoj budu\u0107nosti nedosti\u017ean cilj. Pored op\u0107eg usporavanja globalne trgovine, sa sobom veliku neizvjesnost nosi i rasplet pri\u010de oko Brexita. Tako\u0111er, nema naznaka da \u0107e, bez obzira na ove podatke, Europska centralna banka odustati od predvi\u0111enog kraja kvantitativnog popu\u0161tanja, tj. pumpanja novca u ekonomiju, \u0161to je itekako pridonosilo razinama rasta proteklih godina.<\/p>\n<p>Dakle, premda je nezahvalno davati dugoro\u010dno prognoze, sasvim je izvjesno da \u0107e politi\u010dku nestabilnost u Europi u narednom periodu pratiti i skromne ekonomske performanse. Lo\u0161e vijesti za sve, a pogotovo za politi\u010dki centar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ekonomski su analiti\u010dari ostali prili\u010dno iznena\u0111eni novim podacima o ekonomskom stanju eurozone. A ti podaci koje je objavio Eurostat ka\u017eu da je ekonomija eurozone u tre\u0107em kvartalu ove godine rasla za tek 0,2%. To je najni\u017ea razina rasta jo\u0161 od 2014. godine koja je jo\u0161 itekako bila obilje\u017eena kriznom dinamikom. Premda se blago usporavanje rasta [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":25531,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[228,243],"theme":[456,455],"country":[],"articleformat":[205],"coauthors":[291],"class_list":["post-25529","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-ekonomija","tag-eu","theme-politika","theme-rad","articleformat-vijest"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilten.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25529","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilten.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilten.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilten.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilten.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=25529"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilten.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25529\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25530,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilten.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25529\/revisions\/25530"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilten.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/25531"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilten.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=25529"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilten.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=25529"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilten.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=25529"},{"taxonomy":"theme","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilten.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftheme&post=25529"},{"taxonomy":"country","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilten.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcountry&post=25529"},{"taxonomy":"articleformat","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilten.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Farticleformat&post=25529"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilten.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcoauthors&post=25529"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}